Seminars

◈ 주   제 : "Selection by Indifference and Dynamic Treatment Choice in RCTs: Evidence from Prostate Cancer"

◈ 발표자 :  Juan Pantano (HKU)

◈ 일   시 : 2026년 5월 13일 수요일 16:30 ~ 17:45
◈ 장   소 : 16동 654호

◈ 주   관 : 경제학부, 경제연구소 한국경제혁신센터, SSK, BK21

세미나 이전에 연사님과 개인면담을 원하시는 분은 아래 구글 스프레드시트에서 원하시는 시간에 성함을 기입해주시기 바랍니다. 개인면담 스프레드시트는 12일 오후 12시에 마감하도록 하겠습니다.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fwKtAIRI2G8B6nq94EOYRHyDE-p_r6tJ57vqmKF_6G4/edit?usp=sharing

- 본 세미나는 경제학부 BK21 관련 세미나 참석으로 인정됩니다.
 경제학부 대학원생 중 세미나 참석 인정을 받기를 원하시는 학생은 세미나 종료 후 세미나실 내에 위치한 참석 명단을 기재해 주시기 바랍니다.

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Abstract

We study the design and interpretation of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compare medical treatments already in wide use. These RCTs often compare treatments that vary in their curative effectiveness and side effects, plus they can involve dynamic decisions by patients about whether and when to switch to a more aggressive treatment. Although the goal of RCTs is often an estimate of the population average treatment effect (ATE), the above factors induce patient selection into RCTs that generates estimates of a volunteer average treatment effect (VATE) different from the ATE. We demonstrate how to address these issues using a dynamic decision model and empirical methods that combine population and RCT data. We apply our method to treatment strategies for prostate cancer.